Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.652457 8.580269 9.674763 11.090394 12.920379 15.281801 18.704987
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.233550 8.609877 10.435295 13.179102 17.527872 24.978950 41.851912
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.353231 7.853515 10.004396 13.616422 20.429518 36.235095 112.120283
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.969383 7.693208 10.396172 15.621789 28.412840 85.014021 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.552742 7.406871 10.547786 17.499857 40.718786 759.854976 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.000497 6.808320 10.020117 17.806149 51.533655 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.491221 6.199574 9.335408 17.458527 61.704388 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.372659 6.238377 9.951727 21.475052 188.680695 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.420980 6.595648 11.456528 32.085124 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.284189 6.578726 12.131537 42.967207 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.096947 6.425887 12.415549 55.249872 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.865053 6.138791 12.208061 64.375092 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.601822 5.788681 11.838741 75.777093 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.440445 5.642004 12.129212 122.463479 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.141119 5.132870 10.935950 100.277516 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.983369 4.934282 10.842624 143.933028 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.821877 4.703282 10.546642 193.628533 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.621466 4.354499 9.677508 152.318634 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.432291 4.015751 8.783946 109.530108 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.374371 3.985154 9.105565 250.224290 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.375336 4.099750 10.137508 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.316613 4.054542 10.455729 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.242128 3.957527 10.478563 NaN NaN NaN NaN